Final March, in our article “Switzerland is in danger“We mentioned how and why Switzerland acquired its biggest privilege, how necessary these neutrality privileges are for Switzerland and what (solely optimistic) penalties this privilege has had for the event of our small nation. And sure, we owe this privilege to the Russians. Now we have additionally identified the hazards. Switzerland appears to be heading headlong within the improper path – weak leaders with traits of delusions of grandeur are accountable for this. They appear to view the duties imposed on them within the Structure as suggestions that may be bent past recognition.
On the WEF, President Amherd and Overseas Minister Cassis introduced a peace convention, apparently with out the information of their Federal Council colleagues.
Most media in Switzerland assume this can be a nice concept, or no less than a good suggestion.
“Spontaneous, emotional and unprofessional.”
This peace convention should be based mostly on President Selensky’s ten-point plan.
The idea of this occasion has a number of weaknesses that may result in Switzerland embarrassing itself in entrance of the world viewers, as a result of the world viewers will not be solely EU and US.
The brand new impartial Switzerland: spontaneous, emotional and unprofessional.
A glance again
Storm of sanctions totally supported by Switzerland
Sooner or later after the beginning of the Russian particular operation in Ukraine, the EU issued a well-prepared sanctions package deal on February 23, 2022.
5 days later, “impartial” Switzerland totally permitted the EU’s first sanctions package deal. Since then, the Swiss Sanctions Regulation has been tightened 43 occasions and now contains: 152 pages.
“All the pieces from diesel engines to tub slippers is being penalized.”
The timing of the approval of the sanctions will not be solely a sign that the Federal Council will robotically undertake the EU sanctions, but in addition a proof, as a result of an impartial resolution would require studying and evaluation – there was no time for that. Nonetheless, the FAQ on the web site of the Federal Ministry of Overseas Affairs (FDFA) lies to the Swiss folks:
“Will Switzerland robotically undertake the European Union (EU) sanctions?”
“Switzerland decides to what extent it can undertake EU sanctions; there isn’t a computerized mechanism on this regard.”
Should you learn the sanctions regulation, it turns into clear what the aim of the sanctions truly is: the destruction of the Russian financial system. All the pieces from diesel engines to tub slippers is punished. For my part it might have been a lot simpler to specify what shouldn’t be punished.
Switzerland imposes considerably extra sanctions on Russia than the EU
To explain Switzerland as a follower of the EU can be an understatement. Many individuals in Switzerland are unaware that Switzerland has imposed considerably extra sanctions on Russia than the EU – laborious to imagine, however it’s true.
Since March 2022, Switzerland – as a impartial nation – has been on Russia’s record of unfriendly states. Thus far, there are 48 states on this record.
The implications for international locations on this record are primarily of a business nature relating to commerce, import and export, however by no means go so far as the sanctions in opposition to Russia.
Zelensky’s 10-point plan
President Selensky’s ten-point peace plan can solely be described because the want record of somebody who has misplaced all contact with actuality. You will discover a hyperlink to this record here.
We solely point out factors 5 (territorial integrity), 8 (environmental harm) and 9 (security ensures) to point out that this plan is doomed to failure:
Russia has been campaigning for a diplomatic resolution for many years and even shortly after the outbreak of warfare in April 2022, would have agreed that the Donbas would stay Ukrainian if Ukraine remained impartial. The peace negotiations in March and April 2022, which have been successful and one signature away from peace, have been torpedoed on the final minute by Boris Johnson because the US messenger – the warfare continued. We reported on this.
Russia should return all of the territories that belong to Russia right this moment: Crimea, Saparosh, Kherson, Lugansk and Donetsk: this won’t occursince these areas belong to Russia right this moment and a referendum in September 2022 confirmed that widespread help was effectively above 90% – even the RAND Corporation had no doubts about the outcome of this referendum.
It goes with out saying that the Western media are concealing the truth that the warfare began in 2014 and that greater than 16,000 civilians have been killed by Ukrainian artillery fireplace in Donetsk between 2014 and February 2022. At no time did the Russian navy assault the civilian inhabitants throughout the warfare. combating – this can be a Ukrainian desire. Just some days in the past, 27 people were killed in Donetsk – unmentioned warfare crimes.
This level considerations the destruction of the Kakhovka dam. The Ukrainians declare the Russians blew it up, however there’s clear proof the Ukrainians did.
Ukraine’s integration into NATO. NATO’s jap enlargement has been Russia’s largest safety drawback for the reason that Nineteen Nineties and likewise the rationale for the battle in Ukraine. It could possibly subsequently be dominated out that Russia will settle for becoming a member of NATO.
Calls for battle with actuality
Western propaganda has been proclaiming the demise of the Russian military since March 2022. Nonetheless, the fact is completely different. The Ukrainian military is on the brink, losses on the Ukrainian facet are horrible, assist from the US has stopped and even compelled recruitment won’t produce the urgently wanted 500,000 troopers, who, by the best way, will likely be despatched to the entrance as cannon fodder. a 2-week fast bleach. The warfare is misplaced. We already reported about this in September.
Russia’s willingness to barter
Throughout an interview with CBS News in New York on January 23, Sergei Lavrov rejected a latest declare by US Secretary of State Antony Blinken. who claimed that Moscow has not proven a “willingness to barter in good religion” to finish the battle with Kiev.
“This isn’t true,” Lavrov confused, including that Russia has all the time been prepared to debate “any severe proposal” that addresses the state of affairs on the bottom and the causes of the hostilities. Moscow can be able to discover a resolution “that ensures the professional nationwide pursuits of Russia and the Ukrainian folks,” the diplomat defined.
Sergei Lavrov thus confirmed that negotiations are all the time doable, however that they should be performed on a sensible foundation.
Federal councilor Cassis talks about talks with Lavrov – the reply is threatening
On January 23, Overseas Minister Ignazio Cassis tweeted from the UN, claiming he had mentioned necessary issues with Sergei Lavrov.
— Ignazio Cassis (@ignaziocassis) January 23, 2024
Mr Cassis might have shaken palms with Mr Lavrov within the hall of the UN constructing, however the dialog was brief and the reply brief and chilly.
The Russian Overseas Ministry stated the next:
“The Russian minister gave a principled evaluation of Switzerland’s continued deviation from the rules of neutrality and its reckless help for the Kiev regime, stressing that Russia takes such actions and unfriendly insurance policies into consideration when planning its strategy to the Swiss railway.”
That does not sound very pleasant. I’m definitely no diplomat, however when a diplomat tells me that my unfriendly insurance policies needs to be taken under consideration when planning his strategy, that doesn’t bode effectively. If we view this assertion by the Russian lens – that’s, considering the Russian mentality – it may be anticipated that Russia will specific its displeasure with Switzerland in discussions with China and different main allies. This exhausts my means to diplomatically package deal the doable penalties for Switzerland as a non-diplomat.
Conclusion – Switzerland is on diplomatic sideline
Switzerland has given up its neutrality on a number of ranges: first, as a impartial nation it doesn’t fraternize with a warring social gathering; intimate embraces with the pinnacle of state of a celebration are usually not solely unprofessional, but in addition present bias.
As impartial international locations, the flag would now not be a Kriegspartei within the metropolis.
As a impartial nation you might be neutral and don’t sanction any of the opponents, and it’s particularly unhealthy if Switzerland, as a ‘impartial’ nation, imposes significantly extra sanctions on Russia than the EU.
“Pregnant or not pregnant.”
I contemplate the dialogue within the Swiss media in regards to the extent to which neutrality will be thought of relative to be helpless and ridiculous. It is just like the time period ‘pregnant’; there are two conjoined states: pregnant or not pregnant.
The implications are already there: the peace negotiations in March/April 2022 didn’t happen in Switzerland, however in Turkey.
Our Overseas Minister’s exploratory talks are adopted by a message from Russia that may solely be interpreted as a rebuke.
Ultimately negotiations will happen – Switzerland will now not play a task, as a result of it’s now not dependable – too unhealthy.
There are voices claiming that the Russian central financial institution’s frozen international forex will quickly be seized. If Switzerland goes together with this assault, Russia will reply – additionally in opposition to Switzerland. If we assume that Switzerland has about CHF 28 billion of investments in Russia and will confiscate about CHF 7 billion, I don’t imagine this will likely be deal for Switzerland within the occasion of an escalation.
I can’t choose whether or not the neutrality initiative can save this whole catastrophe for Switzerland, however I can solely present the hyperlink here – it won’t harm.