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Can ETH pull off a strong bounce back as exchange balances reach 4-year lows?

February 12, 2023
in Ethereum
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  • ETH bears are shedding momentum after a powerful pullback in the previous couple of days.
  • ETH trade balances attain 4-year lows as outflows proceed.

Ethereum’s native cryptocurrency simply concluded the week with a large bearish pullback. There may be extra directional uncertainty in consequence, however a number of indicators and metrics could provide some much-needed readability.


How a lot are 1,10,100 ETH price at the moment?


For perspective, ETH’s $1534 price ticket represents a 9% pullback inside the final 5 days.

A few issues to notice in regards to the worth action- The pullback places it inside the 50% RSI stage and the bears appear to have misplaced most of their momentum at this stage. As well as, the outflows indicated by the MFI are leveling out.

ETH price action

Supply: TradingView

Extra importantly, ETH’s 50-day Transferring common not too long ago crossed above the 200-day MA from under, forming a golden cross. The latter is a bullish signal, therefore this may occasionally yield bullish expectations amongst traders.

Do ETH bulls have an opportunity to regain dominance?

A few of ETH’s on-chain metrics are leaning in favor of bullish expectations. The newest Glassnode alerts reveal that the cryptocurrency has been flowing out of exchanges. ETH’s steadiness on exchanges tanked to a 4-year low of 18,946,696.667 ETH.

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Ethereum [ETH]: Investors return to L2 bridges; zKSync, StarkNet addresses swell

Ethereum [ETH]: Assessing if sliding fees can hasten relay to $2k

📉 #Ethereum $ETH Steadiness on Exchanges simply reached a 4-year low of 18,946,696.667 ETH

Earlier 4-year low of 18,948,275.315 ETH was noticed on 11 February 2023

View metric:https://t.co/1dCpD2ey8E pic.twitter.com/45yugPfDec

— glassnode alerts (@glassnodealerts) February 12, 2023

Many of the ETH flowing out of exchanges is probably going headed into DeFi. This may increasingly clarify the overall worth of ETH locked in ETH 2.0 deposit contracts simply soared to a brand new ATH.

That is essential as a result of it confirms that ETH holders are extra assured in permitting their cash to remain in DeFi. An indication of a good shift in the direction of longer-term expectations.

📈 #Ethereum $ETH Complete Worth within the ETH 2.0 Deposit Contract simply reached an ATH of 15,792,103 ETH

View metric:https://t.co/SzbMPqvhlb pic.twitter.com/Ydzv8JmVY5

— glassnode alerts (@glassnodealerts) February 12, 2023

Assessing the extent of ETH demand available in the market

The provision of ETH held by the highest 1% of addresses registered a slight enhance in the previous couple of days.

In the meantime, the variety of ETH addresses holding over 1,000 cash grew barely within the final three days versus the draw back registered for the reason that begin of February.

ETH supply held by top 1% addresses and ETH addresses with balances above 1000 ETH

Supply: Glassnode

This confirms that the bears are not in management and the faucets inflicting promote stress are working dry. However what in regards to the demand scenario on the derivatives aspect of issues?

We did see a drop in open curiosity within the second half of final week however it’s now pivoting in favor of the upside. In different phrases, open curiosity is returning as the worth is exhibiting bullish indicators.

ETH open interest and funding rate

Supply: CryptoQuant


Is your portfolio inexperienced? Take a look at the ETH Revenue Calculator


The funding charge nonetheless has a downward trajectory, possible indicating a scarcity of sturdy demand. The above metrics and indicators level towards a potential bullish end result.

Nonetheless, that is topic to the dearth of extra FUD doubtlessly triggering one other sudden selloff.



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